Indicele dolarului vizeaza 99 75 pana pe 15 ianuarie - forex trading analysis software

Indicele dolarului vizeaza 99 75 pana pe 15 ianuarie ~ forex trading analysis software

 Cu doar o zi inainte de finalul anului 2015 cred ca merita sa aruncam o scurta privire asupra indicelui dolarului american si sa incercam o prognoza cel putin pentru debutul anului 2016.
Graficul zilnic de mai sus ne prezinta in modul cel mai clar faptul ca indicele se gaseste intr-o structura corectiva, sub unghiul 1x1 a boxului de 90 de zile. Consideram ca pana la mijlocul lunii ianuarie, indicele isi va continua miscarea ascendenta si va viza, cel mai probabil zona lui 99,75.
Nivelul de la 99.75 este nivel de rezistenta dinamica data de unghiul 1x1 care se afla in confluenta cu linia proximala a zonei de oferta dar si cu nivelul de rezistenta timp de 90 de zile. Dupa finalizarea structurii corective, ne asteptam ca dupa mijlocul lunii ianuarie, indicele dolarului sa se respinga din zona de rezistenta si sa intre in miscare descendenta spre zona de suport fix de la 50% retragere a boxului Gann aflat in confluenta cu suportul dinamic al unghiului 3x1.

More info for Indicele dolarului vizeaza 99 75 pana pe 15 ianuarie ~ forex trading analysis software:

Read More..

Swing Trader - forex trading hours new york

Swing Trader ~ forex trading hours new york

Swing trader measures an ideal holding period for many participants as 3 days, the the preferred time frame is 4H.

Depending on the currency pair, the profit potential per trade for swing traders can range from 50 pips to 150 pips or more.

Swing traders tend to be a bit more conservative than scalpers or day traders; they typically wait for several confi rmation signals before triggering a trade.

The tools preferred that uses a swing trader are: Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracements, and

trendline channels to all chart views. For example, when both daily and weekly Bollinger Bands converge at a single breakout number, odds increase that price will reverse

right at that level.

At the same time, swing traders are not bothered by intraday volatility and price swings because they are more concerned with catching the medium-term trends. Profit targets and stop-loss levels are naturally larger for swing traders because they have a slightly longer-term view than day traders.

Since trades usually have larger targets, spreads won ’t have as much of an impact to overall profi ts for swing traders. As a result, trading pairs with larger spreads and lower liquidity is acceptable.

Swing trading offers these top three advantages:

1. Favorable risk to reward. Swing traders normally are not concerned with intraday movements of the market because they have a slightly longer time horizon in watching the markets.

As their time horizon is longer than that of day traders, swing traders normally set favorable risk to reward ratios of 1:2, 1:3, or more.

If the stop loss is set at 50 pips, the profi t target is normally 100 pips, 150 pips, or more.

2. Save time. Swing traders are mostly technical traders, which means they do not have to spend time every day to keep abreast of fi nancial news.

This is not to say that news is not important, but due to the swing trader’s trading style of exiting positions in two to fi ve days, daily news events don ’t matter much. This is one of the biggest draws of swing trading and makes the method perfect for new traders or part-time traders who have full-time jobs.

3. Hassle-free. Many traders feel the need to meddle with ongoing trades or to trigger unnecessary ones. This normally happens when traders trade several times a day. As swing traders depend on a trading plan to trigger long and short positions, they do not fall into this trap. In fact, swing traders thrive on following a structured plan. Following a plan keeps human error to a minimum and enables swing traders to avoid emotional trading.

Swing Trader Rules

Medium-Term Range Trade

Rules

1. Use daily charts.

2. There are two ways to range trade in the medium term: position for up-

coming range trading opportunities or get involved in existing ranges:

Upcoming range opportunities: Look for high-volatility environments,

where short-term implied volatilities are significantly higher than

longer-termvolatilities;seekreversionbacktothemeanenvironments.

Existing ranges: Use Bollinger bands to identify existing ranges.

3. Look for reversals in oscillators such as RSI and stochastics.

4. Make sure ADX is below 25 and ideally falling.

5. Look for medium-term risk reversals near choice.

6. Confirm with price action—failure at key range resistances and

bounces on key range supports (using traditional technical indicators).

Indicators Options, Bollinger bands, stochastics, MACD, RSI, Fibonacci retracement levels.

Medium-Term Trend Trade

Rules

1. Look for developing trend on daily charts and use weekly charts for confirmation.

2. Refer back to the characteristics of a trending environment—look for those parameters to be met.

3. Buy breakout/retracement scenarios on key Fibonacci levels or moving averages.

4. Look for no major resistance levels in front of trade.

5. Look for candlestick pattern confirmation.

6. Look for moving average confluence to be on same side of trade.

7. Enter on a break of significant high or low.

8. The ideal is to wait for volatilities to contract before getting in.

9. Look for fundamentals to also be supportive of trade—growth and interest rates. You want to see a string of economic surprises or disappointments, depending on directional bias.

Indicators ADX, parabolic stop and reversal (SAR), RSI, Ichimoku clouds (a Japanese formation), Elliott waves, Fibonacci.

Medium-Term Breakout Trade

Rules

1. Use daily charts.

2. Look for contraction in short-term volatility to a point where it is sharply below long-term volatility.

3. Use pivot points to determine whether a break is a true break or a false break.

4. Look for moving average confluences to be supportive of trade.

Indicators Bollinger bands, moving averages, Fibonacci.

Swing Trader

More info for Swing Trader ~ forex trading hours new york:

Read More..

Detrend Forex Trading System - trading hours in forex

Detrend Forex Trading System ~ trading hours in forex

Detrend Forex Trading System is a momentum strategy.

Time Frame 60 min or higher.

Currency pairs: majors (only 60 min time frame) or higher time frame.

Indicators:

Simple moving average 3 period close;

Simple moving average 15 period close;

Detrend Indicator (DPO) 14 period close;

ADX (14 period close, with 25 level);

MACD (default setting: 12, 26, 9).

See setting in the picture below:

In the above chart, the black MA is the 3 day, and the light blue MA is the 15 day. When

using the 3/15 cross, a buy confirmation is when the 3 day crosses above the 15 day, and a

sell confirmation is when the 3 day crosses below the 15 day. (Please see above chart) For

us to take a signal from the DPO, when the confirmation from the MACD and DMI

(optional) is there, the 3/15 must confirm the trade by crossing up to 3 candles before or

after the DPO crosses the zero line. Let’s say the DPO crosses above the zero line and that cross is confirmed by the MACD and the DMI, and then on the same candle the 3/15 crosses also, or on the 2 nd or 3 rd candle after the DPO crosses the 3/15 crosses, this is a valid signal. If on the other hand the 3/15 cross first, (which occurs much more frequently) and we get a signal on the DPO on that candle or the second or third candle after the cross of the 3/15, then that is a valid confirmation. In the above chart, both of these examples of the 3/15 cross is a perfect example of a valid sell signal, and then a valid buy signal,

confirmed by all indicators at the same time.

Rules Detreend forex trading System

Long Entry

1 The Detrend indicator cross above the zero line.

2The MACD line must be above the signal line.

3 The +DI should be above the –DI or just be crossing above the -DI. (As you learned, this is not 100% necessary, but preferable.)

4 the 3 MA must cross above the 15 MA up to 3 candles either

before or after the upward cross of the Detrend Indicator.

Short Entry

1 The Detrend indicator cross below the zero line.

2 The MACD line must be below the signal line.

3 The +DI should be below the –DI or just be crossing below the -DI. (As you learned, this is not 100% necessary, but preferable.)

4 Finally, the 3 MA must cross below the 15 MA up to 3 candles either

before or after the upward cross of the Detrend indicator .

Exit Position (EUR/USD 60 min)

Place your stop loss 10 pips below the 15 MA on a long trade or 15 pips above the 15 MA on a short trade, OR put the stop at 30 pips, whichever is closer. (35 – 40 on the EUR/USD)

Continually trail the stop 10 pips below the 15 MA on a long trade or 15 pips above the 15 MA on a short trade, as the currency moves in your favor.

Once you are up 50 pips, move your stop loss to your entry point. Leave the stop loss at your entry

point for the duration of the trade.

Exit the trade when the 3 MA crosses below the 15 MA if you are long, or when the 3 MA crosses above the 15 MA if you’re short.

This is an example of a buy signal on the USD/CHF that was not confirmed by the DMI. If

you look closely, at the time of this trade the +DI had not yet crossed above the –DI. It was

still below it, however the +DI and –DI were converging very close together, and the DPO

had crossed 2 candles after the 3/15 cross, and the MACD confirmed the trade, so it was

okay to take this signal. Had the two lines of the DMI still been very far apart and widely separated you would want to pass on the trade. This ended up being a very profitable trade. It is important that when exiting the trade, you wait for the 3 to fully cross the 15 MA, because as you can see by the area that is circled on the chart, they nearly crossed but didn’t quite cross in the middle of the trade, and the currency ended up moving quite a bit further before the 3/15 finally crossed, confirming the exit of the trade.

Bought – 1.2447

Stop Loss – 1.2410 (37 pips, 10 pips below the 15 MA)

Sold – 1.2656

Profit – 209 Pips

Detrend (DPO) Forex Trading System

Here is an example of two short trades on the USD/CHF, one right after the other. They

were both good trades, confirmed by all indicators simultaneously.

First Trade:

Sold – 1.4133

Stop Loss – 1.4177, 40 pips (Also 15 pips above the 15 MA)

Bought – 1.4067

Profit – 66 pips

Second Trade:

Sold – 1.4028

Stop Loss – 1.4063, 35 pips (15 pips above the 15 MA)

Bought – 1.3876

Profit – 152 pips

More info for Detrend Forex Trading System ~ trading hours in forex:

Read More..

Range Trader - forex trading hours new year 2013

Range Trader ~ forex trading hours new year 2013

The range trader waits for prices to enter into sideways ranges. The price could be coming from an uptrend or a downtrend, but there are likely to be pauses along the way. The range trader will select a direction to trade and then wait for either the failure of the price to penetrate resistance or support. The price could in fact close above resis- tance or support but then proceed to fall back. Using a setup to confirm the reversal the range trader is looking for a 15+ pip move. In the U.S. dollar–Japanese yen (USDJPY) 15-minutechartshowninFigure14.1,we see a setup with standard Bollingerbands, slow stochastics (5, 3, 3) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram These indicators are all lined up and provide a high confidence that the setup for the trade is reasonable. The setup aligned itself for several bounces off the top and bottom trades. Important to note in the setup is the convergence of the upper channel line with the upper Bollinger band. The range is about 40 pips. This means the trade has to conserve slippage and trade off the top or bottom.

 Range Trader Rules

1. Use hourly charts to determine entry points and daily charts to confirm

that a range trade exists on a longer time frame.

2. Use oscillators to determine entry point within range.

3. Look for short-dated risk reversals to be near choice.

4. Look for reversal in oscillators (RSI or stochastics at extreme point).

5. It is a stronger trade when prices fail at key resistance or hold key support levels (use Fibonacci retracement points and moving averages).

Indicators Stochastics, MACD, RSI, Bollinger bands, options, Fibonacci retracement levels.

Range Trader

More info for Range Trader ~ forex trading hours new year 2013:

Read More..

Indicele dolarului se respinge din rezistenta 3x1 la 75 timp - forex trading platforms comparison

Indicele dolarului se respinge din rezistenta 3x1 la 75 timp ~ forex trading platforms comparison

In ultima noastra analiza pe indicele dolarului spuneam ca pretul testeaza nivelul de rezistenta dinamic al unghiului 3x1 si daca acesta va ceda deschide cale libera catre nivelul de rezistenta dinamica al unghiului 8x1. Dupa cum putem sa vedem in graficul postat mai sus pretul a realizat un top exact pe nivelul de rezistenta dinamica al unghiului 3x1 in momentul in care s-a suprapus cu nivelul de rezistenta timp de la 75% a box-ului nostru Gann. Dupa cum stim, Gann spunea ca in momentul in care timpul se suprapune cu pretul exista un grad foarte ridicat de probabilitate ca trendul sa-si modifice directia. Putem sa vedem ca pretul nu a reusit sa strapunga rezistenta dinamica si pe acea zona a realizat un double top dupa care azi s-a prabusit in mod accelerat. In mod evident prima tinta de pret pentru indicele dolarului este pe zona de rezistenta a canalului de pret aflat in confluenta cu nivelul de 50% a box-ului Gann. Daca acest nivel de suport va ceda urmatoarea tinta pentru pret este pe nivelul de suport fix de 0.666 . Ultimul target din perspectiva noastra ar trebui sa fie in zona de suport de la 98.50. Ce va trebui sa urmarim in aceasta tranzactie short? In primul rand sa vedem daca pretul va strapunge canalul de consolidare. Daca pretul va strapunge suportul canalului de consolidare si va gasi suport la 0.666 foarte probabil va realiza o corectie sub suportul canlului de consolidare dupa care va continua miscarea descendenta. Dar pana atunci va trebui sa managerizam corect pozitia short si sa vizam primul obiectiv de pret unde vom marca partial profitul si vom duce pozitia la BE+.


Înscrieri la Cursurile de Analiz? Gann ?i abonare la Buletinul de Analiz? S?pt?mânal? Gann pe email
gannmasterforex@gmail.com  si pe Patreon.com

Daca analizele noastre va plac distribuiti link-ul prietenilor dumneavoastra pe canalele de socializare. Doriti sa aflati mai multe despre analiza Gann, puneti intrebari in rubrica noastra de comantarii. Va vom raspunde pe blog sau in privat dupa cum doriti.  

More info for Indicele dolarului se respinge din rezistenta 3x1 la 75 timp ~ forex trading platforms comparison:

Read More..