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Senin, 23 Mei 2016

10 lucruri pe care ar trebui sa le stiti despre sirul Fibonacci ~ forex market hours over xmas


Despre numerele si ratiile Fibonacci s-a scris mult si cu siguranta se va mai scrie. Nu cred ca exista
trader in lume care sa nu le fi folosit in analizele lor desi sunt destul de convins ca foarte multi dintre
acestia o fac impropriu. Pentru cei care se gasesc la inceput de drum in trading cred ca merita sa scriem  cateva lucruri despre numerele Fibonacci.
1) Numerele Fibonacci sunt 1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144,233,377,610 etc.
2)Nu trebuie sa va straduiti sa le invatati, cred ca mai util este sa stiti cum sa le calculati. Adunati ultimele doua numere din secventa Fibonacci si asa o sa aflati numarul Fibonacci urmator. Exemplu 3+5=8; 5+8=13; 8+13=21; 13+21=35 etc.
3)Daca dupa primele 4 numere, vom imparti un numar Fibonacci la numarul ce il precede in sirul numerelor Fibonacci vom obtine o ratie egala cu 1.618. Exemplu: 34/21=1.618. Daca vom imparti un numar Fibonacci la numarul ce il urmeaza in sirul Fibonacci vom obtine o ratie egala cu 0.618. Exemplu 34/55=0.618.
4)Ratia inversa a lui 1.618 este 0.618 si viceversa.Ratia inversa lui 0.618 este 1.618.Exemplu 1/0.618=1.618 si 1/1.618=0.618.
5)Daca o sa impartiti orice numar Fibonacci la numarul care il preced cu doua locuri in sirul Fibonacci, o sa obtinem  ratia 2.618. Daca vom imparti acelasi numar la numarul ce il precede cu doua locuri in sirul lui Fibonacci vom obtine ratia 0.382. Exemplu: 55/144=0.382
6)Inversul ratiei 2.618 este 0.382 asa cum inversul ratiei 0.382 este 2.618. Exemplu: 1/2.618= 0.382; 1/0.382= 2.618.
7)Daca vom imparti orice numar Fibonacci la numarul ce se afla inaintea lui cu trei locuri in sirul Fibonacci vom obtine ratia 4.236. Exemplu: 144/34=4.236. Daca vom imparti acel numar la numarul care il urmeaza in sirul lui Fibonacci cu trei locuri vom obtine o ratie de 0.236. Exemplu: 144/610=0.236.
8)Ratia inversa ratiei 4.236 este 0.236 iar ratia inversa lui 0.236 este 4.236. Exemplu:1/4.236=0.236;1/0.236=4.236.
9)Ratia 1 este expresia comparatiei dintre primele doua numere din sirul Fibonacci; 1_1=1. Ratia 0,5 este expresia dintre cel de-al doilea si al treilea numar din sirul Fibonacci; 1_2=0,5
10)Numerele Fibonacci in sine nu au nici o utilitate in prognoza evolutiei pietelor din perspectiva pretului si a timpului. Cheia elementelor este data de ratiile dintre numere in secventa.

Înscrieri la Cursurile de Analiz? Gann ?i abonare la Buletinul de Analiz? S?pt?mânal? Gann pe email
gannmasterforex@gmail.com  si pe Patreon.com

Daca analizele noastre va plac distribuiti link-ul prietenilor dumneavoastra pe canalele de socializare. Doriti sa aflati mai multe despre analiza Gann, puneti intrebari in rubrica noastra de comantarii. Va vom raspunde pe blog sau in privat dupa cum doriti.  

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Position Size ~ forex trading times london


A position sizing rule determines the number of contracts or shares that are committed to each trade.
It is very easy to see the impact of position sizing at either extreme.
If we trade a position size that is too small—for example, one S&P con- tract per $1,000,000—our trading equity is not being used at optimal levels. Conversely, a position size that is too large—for example, 100 S&P per $100,000—for our capital can increase our risk of ruin to certainty.
Only the most naive and inexperienced of traders will be ensnared by either of these extremes. It is in the area between these two opposite ends of the spectrum, however, where a sizing rule will have the most impact on strategy performance, whether positive or negative.
The best and most efficient sizing principle will be the one that applies our trading capital in an optimal manner so as to achieve maximum returns with an affordable risk.
We will look at four position sizing examples:
1. Volatility adjusted
2. Martingale
3. Anti-Martingale
4. The Kelly method
A volatility adjusted sizing rule uses the size of the account and the size of the risk assumed per contract per trade.
Definition: Volatility adjustedposition sizing determines the number of contracts or shares per trade as a fixed percentage of trading equity divided by the trade risk.
For example, assume:
1. A risk size of 3 percent of equity
2. A risk per contract of $1,000
3. An account size of $250,000
The trade unit would be seven contracts and is calculated as follows:
Total Equity to Risk = $7,500($250,000 × .03)
Number of Contracts = 7($7,500/$1,000 = 7.5 rounded down = 7)
An example of a well-known money management rule is the Martingale strategy. It is derived from a gambling money-management method.
Definition:The Martingale sizing rule doubles the trade size after each loss and starts at one unit after each win.
There are a number of variations on this theme. One such variation is anti-Martingale.
Definition: The anti-Martingale sizing rule doubles the number of trading units after each win, and starts at one unit after each loss.
Optimal f (fixed fractional trading) was introduced by Ralph Vince in 1990. It is based on a formula derived from the Kelly method, which was, in turn, applied by Professor Edward Thorpe to gambling and trading.
Let us look at one implementation of the Kelly formula.
Kelly% = (Win% ? Loss%)/(Average Profit/Average Loss).
Position size

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Jumat, 20 Mei 2016

FX Brokers ~ forex market hours open


FX Brokers
Your trading experience will be directly tied to the type of brokerage firm you use.
Two types of retail FX brokers offer speculative currency trading to investors: traditional brokers that provide clients access to an ECN and brokers that operate as dealing desks.

ECN Brokers
an ECN is an electronic communication network in which currency pairs are traded by banks, central banks, corporations, and now speculators. ECN brokers, however, are also known as non-dealing-desk brokers because, similar to the traditional sense of a broker, they serve as an agent to provide customer access to the FX market (an ECN) as opposed to dealing the FX pairs directly to their clients by acting as a counterparty. ECN brokers are nothing more than the intermediary that brings speculators to liquidity providers (banks and other counterparties). In essence, they attempt to find the best price for the retail trader and facilitate/execute orders on their behalf. Don’t forget that there are several ECNs, and the brokerage firm you choose will determine the quality and size of the ECN. Therefore, bids and asks, and the spread between, can vary from broker to broker.
Retail traders opting for a non-dealing-desk broker will enjoy direct access to a true currency market, and the quotes they see within their platform represent the lowest price at which other participants are willing to sell and the highest price at which they are willing to buy. It might be easier to understand this by thinking of it this way: When you look at quotes flashing on the FX trading platform of a trader using an ECN broker, you see the best offer (ask) and the best bid of all available counterparties on the ECN.

Dealing desk FX Brokers
Dealing-desk brokers go beyond facilitating the transaction. They actually participate it in by “dealing” trades to clients and taking the other side of the execution. Plainly, if you are trading with a dealing-desk brokerage firm, when you go short a currency pair, the desk goes long. as a result, such brokerage firms are often referred to as market makers.
When you have an account with a market maker, your trades are not being matched
by external providers but by the market maker themselves. This means that they take
the opposite position and offer their prices to you, although of course these prices relate to the current price in the market. They will then offset their risk by taking an equivalent position to yours in an ECN or other environment.
Since they are not actually placing your order in the market, market makers are not brokers in the true sense of the word although most traders use the term forex broker loosely and include them.
The dealing-desk arrangement, or non-ECN broker, creates a significant conflict of interest between the trader and the brokerage simply because the brokerage firm stands to make money as its client loses, and vice versa. This is a rather simplistic view because dealing desks typically offset their market risk by taking the opposite position in an actual interbank market, but you get the idea. If you are a buyer of the USD/JPY and your broker is the seller, the entity you have essentially hired to facilitate your FOREX trading is benefiting from your misery and suffering from your victory. I can’t think of any compelling arguments suggesting this arrangement is conducive to the success of traders.
FX Brokers
FX Brokers

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Euro a ajuns pe zona de finalizare a corecției ~ forex trading web based platforms


Eur/Usd a str?puns primul nostru nivel de suport vizat. Dup? cum vedem în graficul de mai sus, moneda european? evolueaz? în acest moment în divergen?? cu indicatorul MACD. Marc?m înc? o parte din profitul realizat la +67 de pips ?i strangem la maxim nivelul de stop. Ne preg?tim pentru ini?ierea unei pozi?ii long.

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Selasa, 17 Mei 2016

Trading Styles ~ forex trading hours new years eve


There are different trading styles that can be applied.Thoset raders looking for very quick moves can adapt scalping strategies and tactics. A great portion of forex traders put on trades that have moderate-size intraday durations that allow the currency pair to move through a range. These traders go for 10 to 30 pip moves. Multiple day trades allow for larger profit objectives of 100 pips or more. Forex trading can also include the goal of trading for income. This goal is featured in carry trades and is a dominant strategy of large hedge funds and institutions. But carry trades are also possible for the average retail trader.
The beginning trader should explore many of these styles and strategies by creating trading setups that use a combination of technical indicators, and chart patterns to pin- point conditions for a trade there is no single style of trading, nor any one technical indicator
or methodology that will be sufficient. Successful trading of forex is a combination of
fundamental knowledge, technical tactics, and experience in pattern recognition.
The main style of trading are:
Range Trader,
Scalper Trader,
Day Trader,
Swing Trader,
Position Trader,
Meccanical Trader,
Carry trader,

News Trader.
Trading Styles
Trading Styles

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Minggu, 15 Mei 2016

Pink Scalping ~ forex market trading hours gmt


Pink scalping is to trade a news release.
I usually change timeframes between 15 Minute and 1 Minute charts when I’m scalping.
If I want to trade a news release, I would have the 15 Minute and 5 Minute charts open.
Aside from the normal setup on 15 Minute charts, I also apply support and resistance lines following the fractals formed on the price. On the 15 Minute timeframe, I just place lines manually to indicate areas that have repeatedly served as areas of support and resistance. I also draw trendlines to indicate the price direction.

Indicators:
ADX (14),
EMA 14 close,
EMA 21 close,
EMA 40 close,
Trendline
Fractals or Swing High/Low
Pivot Points.

Pink scalping rules
I have two scalping methods of trading. The first method is used for scalping during
news releases and the other is for normal scalping.
News Straddle Approach
1. Set up a schedule for the day with high impact news releases for the EURUSD,
GBPUSD, AUDUSD, EURJPY, USDCAD and NZDUSD.
2. Five minutes before a high impact news release, place a pending buy and a pending
stop order, both 20 pips away from the price on the 5 Minute chart.
4. Set the stop losses 30 pips from the pending orders.
5. Wait for a trade to be entered then exit the trade manually with a profit of 5 pips or
more.
Normal Scalping Approach For Buy Trades
1. On the 15 Minute chart, check for any of the following signals:
a. The price is above the 21 period exponential moving average (dark orange or
red).
b. The 14 period moving average (magenta or purple) is above the 21 period
moving average. This indicates that the trend is an uptrend on the 15 Minute
timeframe. At times, I also use 5 and 8 period moving averages. They should be
above the 21 period moving average too.
c. The ADX is sloping up and is above the 30 level. This indicates that the uptrend
momentum is gaining strength.
d. The trendline indicator is slanting up. This also indicates that the trend is an
uptrend on the 15 Minute timeframe.
2. Go to the 1 Minute chart and check for the following signals:
a. The trendline indicator is slanting up, which indicates that the trend is an uptrend.
b. The ADX is sloping up or is above the 30 level.
3. Enter a buy trade on the 1 Minute chart when any one of the following conditions
occur:
a. The price breaks a resistance level or a previous swing high on the 1 Minute or
15 Minute timeframes.
b. The price bounced off from the lower trendline on the 1 Minute or 15 Minute
timeframes.
c. The price pulled back to the 21 EMA or a shorter period EMA on the 1 Minute or
15 Minute timeframes.
2. Set the stop loss level 30 pips below the price, or below the previous low. Move the
stop to the entry price (breakeven) at 5 pips profit.
3. Exit the trade at a profit of 5 pips or more.
Pink scalping
Pink scalping
In this example, the trendlines are going upward indicating that the main trend is an
uptrend on the 1 Minute and 15 Minute timeframes.
I noticed that the price had bounced from the lower trendline and was going up. Looking
at the ADX, it is also going up. So, once price had crossed above the moving averages,
I entered a buy trade before the candle closed.
I set my stop loss level below the swing lows. As soon as the trade reached 5 pips in
profit, I exited the trade.
This example is an ideal trade, but in case the price does not behave as expected, you
will have to take the profit that the market is willing to give you.
The news scalping strategy for a sell trade has the same guidelines with buy trades
because you enter both buy and sell pending orders every time.
Follow the guidelines below to enter trades without high impact news releases.
Normal Scalping Approach For Sell Trades
1. On the 15 Minute chart, check for any of the following signals:
a. The price is below the 21 period EMA (dark orange or red).
b. The 14 period moving average (magenta or purple) is below the 21 period
moving average. This indicates that the trend is a downtrend on the 15 Minute
timeframe. At times, I also use 5 and 8 period moving averages. They should be
below the 21 period moving average too.
c. The ADX is sloping up and is above the 30 level. This indicates that the
downtrend momentum is gaining strength.
d. The trendline indicator is slanting down. This also indicates that the trend is a
downtrend on the 15 Minute timeframe.
2. Go to the 1 Minute chart and check for the following signals:
a. The trendline indicator is slanting down, which indicates that the trend is a
downtrend.
b. The ADX is sloping up or is above the 30 level.
3. Enter a sell trade on the 1 Minute chart when any one of the following conditions
occur:
a. The price breaks a support level or a previous swing low on the 1 Minute or 15
Minute timeframes.
b. The price bounced off from the upper trendline on the 1 Minute or 15 Minute
timeframes.
c. The price pulled back to the 21 EMA or a shorter period EMA on the 1 Minute or
15 Minute timeframes.
2. Set the stop loss level 30 pips above the price, or above the previous high. Move the
stop to the entry price (breakeven) at 5 pips profit.
3. Exit the trade at a profit of 5 pips or more.
Pink Scalping
  
In this example, the trendlines on both 1 Minute and 15 Minute timeframes are going
downward indicating that the main trend is a downtrend.
After rejecting from an upper trendline, the price had crossed under the EMAs. The
EMAs are also beginning to form a downtrend.
The ADX is going up in the 1 Minute timeframe while it is already above 30 level in the
15 Minute timeframe. I entered a sell trade and set the stop loss level above the
previous swing high. As soon as the trade reached 5 pips in profit, I exited the trade.

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Rabu, 11 Mei 2016

Indicele dolarului vizeaza 99 75 pana pe 15 ianuarie ~ forex trading analysis software


 Cu doar o zi inainte de finalul anului 2015 cred ca merita sa aruncam o scurta privire asupra indicelui dolarului american si sa incercam o prognoza cel putin pentru debutul anului 2016.
Graficul zilnic de mai sus ne prezinta in modul cel mai clar faptul ca indicele se gaseste intr-o structura corectiva, sub unghiul 1x1 a boxului de 90 de zile. Consideram ca pana la mijlocul lunii ianuarie, indicele isi va continua miscarea ascendenta si va viza, cel mai probabil zona lui 99,75.
Nivelul de la 99.75 este nivel de rezistenta dinamica data de unghiul 1x1 care se afla in confluenta cu linia proximala a zonei de oferta dar si cu nivelul de rezistenta timp de 90 de zile. Dupa finalizarea structurii corective, ne asteptam ca dupa mijlocul lunii ianuarie, indicele dolarului sa se respinga din zona de rezistenta si sa intre in miscare descendenta spre zona de suport fix de la 50% retragere a boxului Gann aflat in confluenta cu suportul dinamic al unghiului 3x1.

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Kamis, 05 Mei 2016

The High Low Breakout ~ forex market hours mt4 indicator


The High/Low Breakout is a forex strategy intraday based on the break of the previous day high or low.
Time Frame H1
Currency pairs: majors.
Indicator:
ADX 14 period with 35 level.

Trading Rules The High/Low Breakout
Buy
1. Find a currency pair with ADX is less than 35 but above 25.
2. Wait for the price to break below the previous day’s low by at least
15 pips.
3. Place an pending order price to buy 10 pips above the previous day’s high.
4. After that order fill, place your initial stop no more than 25 pips below the entry point.
5. Profi target 30-40 pips or exit postition at end of the day.

Sell
1. Find a currency pair whose 14-period ADX is less than 35 but above 25.
2. Wait for the price to break above the previous day’s low by at least
15 pips.
3. Place an pending order to sell 10 pips below the previous day’s low.
4. After that order fill, place the initial stop no more than 25 pips above
the entry point.
5. Profi target 30-40 pips or exit postition at end of the day.

In the examples we have two trading on GBP/USD hourly charts, all conditions are agree.
ADX 14 is below 35 level at the previous day High/Low.
First Example
Previous day low 1,5835. We look for a break below the previous day low. - Pending order 1,5835 -10 pips= 1,5825. Place stop loss of 25 pips. Profit Target 30 pips.
The High/Low Breakout















Second Example
Previous day high 1,6096. We look for a break below the previous day low. - Pending order 1,6096+10 pips= 1,6106. Place stop loss of 25 pips. Profit Target 30 pips.
The High/Low Breakout
The High/Low Breakout

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Selasa, 03 Mei 2016

Forex Scalping Strategies ~ forex market hours us


Whats are the the forex scalping strategies?

Forex Scalping methods are a large number trades within small periods for getting small profits.
The scalping (on the DOM) strategy consists in three simple step:
firstly finding out which way is the tendency;
next start looking the price levels where the current market pauses,
searching within the DOM making your scalping trades.
Position traders maintain their open positions for many hrs or days. The scaping traders to make good use of the leverage that is available in the FX market , stays open for just several hrs, minutes or perhaps seconds. But carry out numerous trades during the day.
Vantage and disavantage of scalping method
The profittability are larger than in position trading.
When stop the trade ignore the market, your tendency and sleep well.
4-6 hours’ scalping causes a impressive emotional stress therefore at the end associated with the trading day one can feel exhausted.
Forex Scalping cant stand errors. A person who wants scalping to do it should be totally cold-
blooded and capable of analyzing the situation immediately. This is a basic difference between scalping and position trader.

Whats is the best leverge?

An amount of leverage (as much as 25 or 60:1) could be appropriate for traders who open and shut positions in extremely swift succession, so long as stop-loss orders will never be ignored.
in the event such as the aftermath of the surprise FED decision, or perhaps an unpredicted non
Farm Payrolls release, propagates can widen instantly the spreads, there might not be lots of time to realize the stop-loss order despite a reliable broker, and the loss could be increased if high leverage were for use. To avoid such final results from materializing, it may be beneficial to reduce the leverage ratio considerably when we aim to trade market occasions that induce gaps within the bid-request spread, and make large unpredictability.

What are the main features of Forex Brokers for scalping?

The broker is the most essential variable for identifying the chance, and profitability of the
scalping technique for any trader A scalper has control of energy over his methods, stop-loss, or take profit time period for buying and selling. But traders can not control the stability of the server forex brokers to which the operation on the market.
Low Spreads are essentialy for scalper scalper which will open and shut tens of positions inside a short time, the price of his trades is a very significant item on his balance sheet.
Let’s see a good example.
A scalper opens and liquidates 30 positions on the day within the GBP/USD pair, for
that the spread is generally 3 pips. Let’s also that his trade dimensions are constant, which 2/3 of his positions are lucrative, with typically 5 pips profit per trade. Let’s also state that the average size his loss is 3 pips per trade.
Whats his gain/loss ?
Positions in profit) – (Positions in loss) = Net profit/loss
(20*5)-(10*3) = 70 pips in total.
Whats his gain/loss with no cost of multiplication incorporated?. Now let’s include the cost of the spreads, and repeat the calculation.
(Positions in profit) – (Positions in loss + Cost of the Spread) = Net profit/loss
(20*5)-(10*3+30*3) = -20 pips in total.
An awful surprise awaits our hypothetical trader in the account. The amount of his lucrative
trades were two times the amount of his losing ones, and the average loss involved half his average
gain. Now lets replicate the identical computation information exercising, by having an additional hypothetical forex broker where the distribute is just 1 pip inside theGBP/USD set, 5 pips for every earn, and three pips for every loss (the identical situation which was examined checked out initiallyin the beginningat) getting ausing just one-pip spread brings us an outcomes of
(20*5)-(10*3+30*1) = 60 pips net as a whole profit on the GBP/USD with 1 pips spread.
Why is there this type of large discrepancy within our results? Even though the amounts do speak for themselves, let’s help remind the readers that although we make money only on the lucrative trades, we pay the forex broker for each position we open, lucrative or otherwise. This is the question.

In summary, we must make certain of decide the broker that using least expensive spread for your currency pair preferred . A scalper must analize the account packages of numerous brokers completely before of open an account and become a client of one of them.
Forex Scalping Strategies
Forex Scalping Strategies


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Senin, 02 Mei 2016

Swing Trader ~ forex trading hours new york


Swing trader measures an ideal holding period for many participants as 3 days, the the preferred time frame is 4H.
Depending on the currency pair, the profit potential per trade for swing traders can range from 50 pips to 150 pips or more.
Swing traders tend to be a bit more conservative than scalpers or day traders; they typically wait for several confi rmation signals before triggering a trade.
The tools preferred that uses a swing trader are: Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracements, and
trendline channels to all chart views. For example, when both daily and weekly Bollinger Bands converge at a single breakout number, odds increase that price will reverse
right at that level.
At the same time, swing traders are not bothered by intraday volatility and price swings because they are more concerned with catching the medium-term trends. Profit targets and stop-loss levels are naturally larger for swing traders because they have a slightly longer-term view than day traders.
Since trades usually have larger targets, spreads won ’t have as much of an impact to overall profi ts for swing traders. As a result, trading pairs with larger spreads and lower liquidity is acceptable.
Swing trading offers these top three advantages:
1. Favorable risk to reward. Swing traders normally are not concerned with intraday movements of the market because they have a slightly longer time horizon in watching the markets.
As their time horizon is longer than that of day traders, swing traders normally set favorable risk to reward ratios of 1:2, 1:3, or more.
If the stop loss is set at 50 pips, the profi t target is normally 100 pips, 150 pips, or more.
2. Save time. Swing traders are mostly technical traders, which means they do not have to spend time every day to keep abreast of fi nancial news.
This is not to say that news is not important, but due to the swing trader’s trading style of exiting positions in two to fi ve days, daily news events don ’t matter much. This is one of the biggest draws of swing trading and makes the method perfect for new traders or part-time traders who have full-time jobs.
3. Hassle-free. Many traders feel the need to meddle with ongoing trades or to trigger unnecessary ones. This normally happens when traders trade several times a day. As swing traders depend on a trading plan to trigger long and short positions, they do not fall into this trap. In fact, swing traders thrive on following a structured plan. Following a plan keeps human error to a minimum and enables swing traders to avoid emotional trading.
Swing Trader Rules
Medium-Term Range Trade
Rules
1. Use daily charts.
2. There are two ways to range trade in the medium term: position for up-
coming range trading opportunities or get involved in existing ranges:
Upcoming range opportunities: Look for high-volatility environments,
where short-term implied volatilities are significantly higher than
longer-termvolatilities;seekreversionbacktothemeanenvironments.
Existing ranges: Use Bollinger bands to identify existing ranges.
3. Look for reversals in oscillators such as RSI and stochastics.
4. Make sure ADX is below 25 and ideally falling.
5. Look for medium-term risk reversals near choice.
6. Confirm with price action—failure at key range resistances and
bounces on key range supports (using traditional technical indicators).
Indicators Options, Bollinger bands, stochastics, MACD, RSI, Fibonacci retracement levels.

Medium-Term Trend Trade
Rules
1. Look for developing trend on daily charts and use weekly charts for confirmation.
2. Refer back to the characteristics of a trending environment—look for those parameters to be met.
3. Buy breakout/retracement scenarios on key Fibonacci levels or moving averages.
4. Look for no major resistance levels in front of trade.
5. Look for candlestick pattern confirmation.
6. Look for moving average confluence to be on same side of trade.
7. Enter on a break of significant high or low.
8. The ideal is to wait for volatilities to contract before getting in.
9. Look for fundamentals to also be supportive of trade—growth and interest rates. You want to see a string of economic surprises or disappointments, depending on directional bias.
Indicators ADX, parabolic stop and reversal (SAR), RSI, Ichimoku clouds (a Japanese formation), Elliott waves, Fibonacci.

Medium-Term Breakout Trade
Rules
1. Use daily charts.
2. Look for contraction in short-term volatility to a point where it is sharply below long-term volatility.
3. Use pivot points to determine whether a break is a true break or a false break.
4. Look for moving average confluences to be supportive of trade.
Indicators Bollinger bands, moving averages, Fibonacci.
Swing Trader
Swing Trader

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Jumat, 29 April 2016

Euro a ajuns pe zona de suport 1 8 ~ best forex trading platforms canada


Începem s?pt?mâna de tranzac?ionare cu un calendar economic pu?in atipic pentru o zi de luni care, de obicei, este destul de s?rac? în date fundamentale. Ziua de azi îns?, se anun?? interesant?.
La ora 10 ?i 30 de minute din Germania vom primi datele PMI. La ora 11 vom sosi ?i datele Manufacturing PMI din Zona Euro.
Dup? ora 17 pia?a va a?tepta un anun? al FED ce s-ar putea s? ne surprind?. Este deci o zi de luni care foarte posibil va deveni interesant?, cu prec?dere dup? ora 17.
La finalul s?pt?mânii precedente postam o analiz? pentru perechea Eur/Usd în care afirmam c? moneda european? se apropie de finalul raliului ?i, cel mai probabil î?i va relua mi?carea descendent?.
Imaginea de mai sus este graficul de analiz? postat s?pt?mâna trecut? cu "indica?iile de regie" de la acel moment când recomandam s? a?tept?m ca pre?ul s? ajung? pe zona de pivot s?pt?mânal 3/8 ?i acolo, s? ini?iem o tranzac?ie short cu target spre -1/8 (H1).
Dup? cum putem vedea pre?ul a respectat scenariul nostru ?i în acest moment se g?se?te pe zona de suport -1/8 (H4). Consider?m c? mi?carea descendent? ar putea s? continue cu o prim? zon? de interes la 1.0577/1.0561.
Pozi?ia noastr? short a ajuns deja la +121 de pips. Nivelul de stop loss este mutat la BE+ deci suntem în free trade.


Înscrieri la cursurile de analiz? tehnic? Gann : gannmasterforex@gmail.com

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Kamis, 28 April 2016

AUDCHF pe suportul dinamic 2x1 ~ forex trading platforms in nigeria


Ieri, postam o scurta analiza in care afirmam ca dolarul australian este gata de short in fata francului elvetian. Dupa cum putem vedea in graficul de mai sus pretul a reusit sa strapunga in forta unghiul 1x1 ascendent si in acest moment se gaseste pe zona de suport dinamic a unghiului 2x1. Acest nivel de suport dinamic este extrem  de important.  Daca acest nivel de suport va fi strapuns se va deschide cale libera spre zona noastra de targetare de pe suportul dinamic 8x1. Tinta noastra finala pentru aceasta tranzactionare este insa mult mai jos, la 0.6910.

Înscrieri la Cursurile de Analiz? Gann ?i abonare la Buletinul de Analiz? S?pt?mânal? Gann pe email
gannmasterforex@gmail.com  si pe Patreon.com

Daca analizele noastre va plac distribuiti link-ul prietenilor dumneavoastra pe canalele de socializare. Doriti sa aflati mai multe despre analiza Gann, puneti intrebari in rubrica noastra de comantarii. Va vom raspunde pe blog sau in privat dupa cum doriti.  

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Rabu, 27 April 2016

Fibonacci levels support and resistance ~ forex trading hours utc


The Fibonacci sequence describes key ratios from growth in plants, human anatomy, and so on. The forex application is to price movements, which appears to realize Fibonacci ratios. This is particularly obvious on larger time frames such as weekly, daily, and 4-hour time charts. A large move from a low to a high is often followed by an attempt of the price to move back or “retrace” the original move. These areas of rest are Fibonacci points. For example, let’s look at a chart showing a price move on the euro–U.S. dollar (EURUSD) 4H chart chart (see picture1).
We can see that the EURUSD made a low at 1.3525 and then proceeded to forma high at 1.3637. Once this move was completed, the trader can use a Fibonacci (Fib) graphic tool, which is available on all platforms to draw a Fib line. The Fibonacci retracement are:
23.6% the shallowest of the retracements;
38.2% this is the first line of defense of the current trend.;
50% the neutral point of any retracement.;
61.8% retracing to this typically signals a breakdown in the trend;
100% matching the move;
other potential lines are: 138.2% , 161.8%, 200%.
Since the price started from the low, the Fib tool assigns the 100 percent level to this origin point. The best way to interpret this is to think of the price going all the way back home to where it started. It would achieve a 100 percent retracement. Once the low and the high are connected, the Fib graphic tool draws the lines and projects it out. Notice that these Fib lines are extended into the future. The trader doesn’t know if the price will get there! The trader makes the assumption that if the price is able to get to a Fib level, it will experience strong support or resistance. Also, if the price is able to probe a future Fib level but fails to go through it, the trader can make a reliable assumption that there is key support at that level.The price moved from the low of point A to the high of point B and then proceeded to retrace or fall back.
The Fibonacci levels are maps of potential support or resistance. They are areas where great care should be taken by the trader. Rest assured that any professional trader knows where the key Fib levels are. Perhaps because these levels are projected and therefore known in advance, they generate a self-fulfilling process and increase in importance.
Fibonacci levels support and resistance
The price moved from the low of point A to the high of point B and then proceeded to retrace or fall back


Fibonacci Quiz

1. What are the Fibonacci levels ?
  • 0.236%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%
  • 1.23%, 0.38%, 0.61%, 0.76%
  • 50.0%, 12.3%, 63.8%, 92.7%
2. What may represent Fibonacci levels?
  • Fibonacci levels are only imaginary points
  • Fibonacci leveles are dynamic points
  • Fibonacci levels are potential areas support or resistance
3. (Fib) Graphic tool what to do?
  • Draws magic lines for fx prediction.
  • Draws the ratio of Elliott wave
  • Draws the ratio lines and projects it out
4. What are the best time frame where to apply Fibonacci lines?
  • All time frame are good
  • 4H, daily, weekly, monthly
  • 1 min, 1 sec, 5 min, 10 min
Score =

Correct answers:

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Senin, 25 April 2016

Range Trader ~ forex trading hours new year 2013


The range trader waits for prices to enter into sideways ranges. The price could be coming from an uptrend or a downtrend, but there are likely to be pauses along the way. The range trader will select a direction to trade and then wait for either the failure of the price to penetrate resistance or support. The price could in fact close above resis- tance or support but then proceed to fall back. Using a setup to confirm the reversal the range trader is looking for a 15+ pip move. In the U.S. dollar–Japanese yen (USDJPY) 15-minutechartshowninFigure14.1,we see a setup with standard Bollingerbands, slow stochastics (5, 3, 3) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram These indicators are all lined up and provide a high confidence that the setup for the trade is reasonable. The setup aligned itself for several bounces off the top and bottom trades. Important to note in the setup is the convergence of the upper channel line with the upper Bollinger band. The range is about 40 pips. This means the trade has to conserve slippage and trade off the top or bottom.
 Range Trader Rules
1. Use hourly charts to determine entry points and daily charts to confirm
that a range trade exists on a longer time frame.
2. Use oscillators to determine entry point within range.
3. Look for short-dated risk reversals to be near choice.
4. Look for reversal in oscillators (RSI or stochastics at extreme point).
5. It is a stronger trade when prices fail at key resistance or hold key support levels (use Fibonacci retracement points and moving averages).
Indicators Stochastics, MACD, RSI, Bollinger bands, options, Fibonacci retracement levels.
Range Trader
Range Trader

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Kamis, 14 April 2016

Eur Usd pe prima zona de targetare la 222 pips ~ forex market hours volatility


In imaginea de mai sus se poate vedea graficul de analiza zilnic trimis abonatilor la buletinul de analiza saptamanala Gann. Piata a respectat scenariul nostru de tranzactionare si dupa cum se poate vedea in graficul de mai jos in acest moment ne apropiem de cel de-al doilea target vizat de noi.
Am marcat profitul realizat la +222 de pips , am mutat nivelul de stop loss la BE+, ramanem long in free trade.

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Rabu, 13 April 2016

CCI Trade Momentum ~ forex market hours singapore


CCI Trade is a forex strategy based on Commody Channel Index. CCI is an indicator that is good for measure of momentum and helps us to optimize best entries in the activity of trading on the financial markets.
CCI (Commodity channel Index is an oscillator (mathematical algorithm). CCI is an unbounded range, typically when your level is above of +100 considered to be overbought, when your level is below -100 is oversold.
We will use these levels as our trigger points as we put a twist on the traditional interpretation of CCI. We actually look to buy if the currency pair makes a new high above 100 and sell if the currency pair makes a new low below -100. In “Trade CCI Momentum” we are looking for new peaks or spikes in momentum that are likely to carry the currency pair higher or lower. The thesis behind this setup is that much like a body hurtled in motion will remain so until it’s slowed by counterforces, new highs or lows in CCI will propel the currency further in the direction of the move before new prices finally put a halt to the advance or the decline.

Trade CCI Momentum Buy
1. On the daily or the hourly charts place the CCI indicator with standard input of 20.
2. Note the very last time the CCI registered a reading of greater than +100 before
dropping back below the +100 zone.
3. Take a measure of the peak CCI reading and record it.
4. If CCI once again trades above the +100 and if its value exceeds the prior peak reading,
go long at market at the close of the candle.
5. Measure the low of the candle and use it as your stop.
6. If the position moves in your favor by the amount of your original stop, sell half and
move stop to breakeven.
7. Take profit on the rest of the trade when position moves to two times your stop.

Trade CCI Momentum Sell
1. On the daily or the hourly charts place the CCI indicator with standard input of 20.
2. Note the very last time the CCI registered a reading of less than -100 before poking
above the -100 zone.
3. Take a measure of the peak CCI reading and record it.
4. If CCI once again trades below the -100 and if its value exceeds the prior low reading,
go short at market at the close of the candle.
5. Measure the high of the candle and use it as your stop.
6. If the position moves in your favor by the amount of your original stop, sell half and
move the stop on the remainder of the position to breakeven.

7. Take profit on the rest of the trade when position moves to two times your stop.
CCI Trade Momentum
 In this daily chart of the EUR/USD pair we see that the former peak high above the CCI +100 level
was recorded on September 5, 2005, when it reached a reading of 130.00. Not until more than three
months later on December 13, 2005, did the CCI produce a value that would exceed this number.
Throughout this time we can see that EUR/USD was in a severe decline with many false breakouts
to the upside that fizzled as soon as they appeared on the chart. On December 13, 2005, however,
CCI hit 162.61 and we immediately went long on the close at 1.1945 using the low of the candle
at 1.1906 as our stop. Our first target was 100% of our risk, or approximately 40 points. We exited
half the position at 1.1985 and the second half of the position at two times our risk at 1.2035. Our
total reward-to-risk ratio on this trade was 1.5:1, meaning that if we were merely 50% accurate,
the setup would have positive expectancy. Note also that we were able to capture our gains in less
than 24 hours as the momentum of the move carried our position to profit very quickly.
For those traders who do not like to wait nearly a quarter of a year between setups, the hourly chart
offers far more opportunities of the “Trade CCI Momentum” setup. It is still infrequent, which is one of the reasons that makes this setup so powerful (the common wisdom in trading is: the rarer the trade the better the trade). Nevertheless it occurs on the hourly charts far more often than on the dailies.
In the above example, we look at the hourly chart of the EUR/USD between March 24 and March
28 of 2006. At 1pm on March 24, 2006, the EUR/USD reaches a CCI peak of 142.96. Several
days later at 4am on March 28, 2006, the CCI reading reaches a new high of 184.72. We go long
at market on the close of the candle at 1.2063. The low of the candle is 1.2027 and we set our stop
there. The pair consolidates for several hours and then makes a burst to our first target of 1.2103
at 9am on March 28, 2006. We move the stop to breakeven to protect our profits and are stopped
out a few hours later, banking 40 pips of profit. As the saying goes, half a loaf is better than none,
and it is amazing how they can add up to a whole bakery full of profits if we simply take what the
market gives us.

Here is an example of a short in USD/CHF trade on the dailies that employs this approach in
reverse. On October 11, 2004 USD/CHF makes a CCI low of -131.05. A few days later, on October
14, 2004, the CCI prints at -133.68. We enter short at market on the close of the candle at 1.2445.
Our stop is the high of that candle at 1.2545. Our first exit is hit just two days later at 1.2345. We
stay in the trade with the rest of the position and move the stop to breakeven. Our second target is
hit on October 19, 2004 - no more than five days after we’ve entered the trade. Total profit on the
trade? 300 points. Our total risk was only 200 points, and we never even experienced any serious
drawdown as the momentum pulled prices further down. The key is high probability, and that is
exactly what the “Trade CCI Momentum” setup provides.
At 9pm on March 21, 2006, EUR/JPY recorded a reading of -115.19 before recovering above the
-100 CCI zone. The “Trade CCI Momentum” setup triggered almost to the tee five days later at 8pm on March 26, 2006. The CCI value reached a low of -133.68 and we went short on the close of the
candle. This was a very large candle on the hourly charts, and we had to risk 74 points as our entry
was 140.79 and our stop was at 141.51. The majority of the traders would have been afraid to enter
short at that time, thinking that most of the selling had been done. But we had faith in our strategy
and followed the setup. Prices then consolidated a bit and trended lower until 1pm on March 27,
2006. Less than 24 hours later we were able to hit our first target, which was a very substantial 74
points. Again we moved our stop to breakeven. The pair proceeded to bottom out and rally, taking
us out at breakeven. Although we did not achieve our second target overall, it was a good trade as
we banked 74 points without ever really being in a significant drawdown.
Finally, our last example shows how this setup can go wrong and why it is critical to always use
stops. The “Trade CCI Momentum” setup relies on momentum to generate profits. When the momentum fails to materialize, it signals that a turn may be in the making. Here is how it played out on the hourly charts in AUD/USD. We note that CCI makes a near-term peak at 132.58 at 10pm on May 2, 2006. A few days later at 11am on May 4, 2006, CCI reaches 149.44 prompting a long entry
at .7721. The stop is placed at .7709 and is taken out the very same hour. Notice that instead of
rallying higher, the pair reversed rapidly. Furthermore, as the downside move gained speed prices
reached a low of .7675. A trader who did not take the 12-point stop as prescribed by the setup
would have learned a very expensive lesson indeed as his losses could have been magnified by a
factor of three. Therefore, the key idea to remember with our “Trade CCI Momentum” setup is - “I
am right or I am out!
How can you improve this forex strategy?
adding 2 exponential moving averages.
The new setup of this strategy is as follows (h1 time frame)
CCI 20 periods,
 EMA 9 periods ,
EMA 21 periods.
H4 and daily time Frame setup is:
CCI 20 periods,
 EMA 6 periods,.
EMA 13 periods.

Buy
The same previous rules but with conditions That 9EMA> 21 EMA.
Sell
The same previous rules but with conditions That 9EMA< 21 EMA.

To see example
Trade CCI Momentum
Trade CCI Momentum
For a more aggressive trading this strategy can be summarized in the following way:
Buy
CCI> 100 and 9EMA> 21EMA;
Sell
CCI <-100 and 9EMA <21EMA
Trade CCI Momentum
trade CCI Momentum



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Selasa, 12 April 2016

Petrolul a ajuns pe zona de target ~ forex trading platforms explained


US Oil (WTI) ne-a confirmat scenariul de tranzactionare postat dimineata si a ajuns pe prima noastra zona de targetare. Marcam partial profitul si mutam nivelul de stop loss la BE+. Ramanem short in free trade.

Înscrieri la Cursurile de Analiz? Gann ?i abonare la Buletinul de Analiz? S?pt?mânal? Gann pe email
gannmasterforex@gmail.com  si pe Patreon.com

Daca analizele noastre va plac distribuiti link-ul prietenilor dumneavoastra pe canalele de socializare. Doriti sa aflati mai multe despre analiza Gann, puneti intrebari in rubrica noastra de comantarii. Va vom raspunde pe blog sau in privat dupa cum doriti.  

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Senin, 04 April 2016

Renko Chart Tutorial ~ forex market open hours indicator mt4


How trade with renko chart
Box Renko
How is a 10 pip renko bar formed?
1. A new green (UP) renko bar forms only after the current price surpasses the top of the previous
renko bar by 10 pips.
2. Green renko bars open on the bottom of the bar and close on the top of the bar. Green renko bars display the closing price which is also the HIGH price for this green renko bar.
3. A new red (DOWN) renko bar forms only after the current price surpasses the bottom of the
previous renko bar by 10 pips.
4. Red renko bars open on the top of the bar and close on the bottom of the bar. Red renko bars display closing price which is also the LOW price for this red renko bars.
Advantages
Renko Bar Charts offer the following advantages:
1. Visual Appeal
2. Zero Indicators
3. Objective Decision-Making Process
4. Filters Out Market Noise, i.e. “whipsaws”
5. Displays Areas Of Support And Resistance
6. Based On Price Action (movement of prices)
Renko bars remove the “distractions” seen on typical bar or candlestick charts. These distractions include “whipsaws” such as long wicks, false breakouts and price volatility.
Renko bars clearly define current trend and key price levels such as support & resistance and trend reversals.
Buy Setup
A #1 Buy Setup represents a pullback in a current trend. Look for the following:
1. A trend (x-y) or sequence of green renko bars followed by a pullback (y-z) of red renko bars.
2. Wait patiently for the 1st green renko bar (Trigger Bar) to close immediately following the pullback. Enter trade here.
Renko Chart tutorial
Renko Chart
3. Make sure the last red renko bar (z) on the chart is higher than the last red renko bar in the previous pullback (x).
4. This setup is a higher swing low. Place your stop loss underneath this higher swing low (z) or the previous swing low (x).
Sell Setup
A #1 Sell Setup represents a pullback in a current trend. Look for the following:
1. A trend (x-y) or sequence of red renko bars followed by a pullback (y-z) of green renko bars.
2. Wait patiently for the 1st red renko bar (Trigger Bar) to close immediately following the
pullback. Enter trade here.
3. Make sure the last green renko bar (z) on the chart is lower than the last green renko bar in
the previous pullback (x).
4. This setup is a lower swing high. Place your stop loss above this lower swing high (z) or

above the previous swing high (x)
Scalping setup with renko chart
1. Determine How Much Risk: Money Management
2. Identify a FX trade setup (Buy or Sell Setup)
3. Enter trade
4. Manage trade/exits
Renko Bar Chart Parameters:
1. 2 or 5 PIP renko bars
2. Use a 10 TICK chart (Look for CLOCK icon)
3. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF,
USD/JPY, NZD/USD, CAD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY
Trade Exits:
1. 3 Renko Bars Reversal:
3 renko bars of opposite color appear and close on charts. Use a 6 to 15 pip trailing stop if you want to “automate” this type of Trade Exit.
2 Fixed Amount:
100% exit at 1st profit target. Use a fixed take profit to “automate” this type of trade exit.

Swing with renko chart (setup)
1. Determine How Much Risk: Money Management
2. Identify a FX trade setup
3. Enter trade
4. Manage trade/exits
Renko Bar Chart Parameters:
1. 10 PIP renko bars
2. 1 minute time frame
3. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF,
USD/JPY, NZD/USD, CAD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY
Trade Exits:
1. 3 Renko Bars Reversal:
3 renko bars of opposite color appear and close on charts. Use a 30 to 50 pip trailing stop if you want to “automate” this type of Trade Exit.
2 Fixed Amount:
100% exit at 1st profit target. Use a fixed take profit to “automate” this type of trade exit.

Position Trader
1. Determine How Much Risk: Money Management
2. Identify a FX trade setup
3. Enter trade
4. Manage trade/exits
Renko Bar Chart Parameters:
1. 25 PIP renko bars
2. 1 minute time frame
3. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF,
USD/JPY, NZD/USD, CAD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY
Trade Exits:
1. 3 Renko Bars Reversal:
3 renko bars of opposite color appear and close on charts. Use a 75 to 125 pip trailing stop if you want to “automate” this type of Trade Exit.
2 Fixed Amount:
100% exit at 1st profit target. Use a fixed take profit to “automate” this type of trade exit.

Trade exits
Trade Exits are a very important function of a trader’s profit/loss performance. Ideally each individual forex trader needs to find an exit strategy which fits his/her trading personality and trading objectives.
Whether you are a Scalper, Swing or Position trader, you need to experiment with your trade
exits in an effort to maximize your profits.
Scalping: I suggest starting with 3 to 5 Renko Bars or a 10 to 15 pip stop loss and using a
1:1 take profit or use a 10 pip trailing stop loss set on initial 15 pip stop loss.
Swing: I suggest starting with a 3 Renko Bar or 30 pip stop loss and using a 1:1 or 2:1 take
profit or use a 10 pip trailing stop loss set on initial 30 pip stop loss.
Position: I suggest starting with a 3 Renko Bar or
75 pip stop loss and using a 1:1 or 2:1 take profit or use a 10 pip trailing stop loss set on initial 75 pip stop loss.
Money Management
Keep your % risk the same for each trade.
1. Conservative: 0.5 % - 1.0 %
2. Moderate: 1.0 % – 3.0 %
3. Aggressive: 3.0 % - 5.0 %
Start conservative until you develop the discipline to recognize the 4 FX
trade setups and execute them without making any mistakes.
Adjust your % Risk each Week. This approach will protect your trading capital when you are losing trades, and allow you to grow your capital faster when you are winning trades.
Always keep your % Risk where you decide it needs to be. Adjust your position
size if you need to use a larger stop loss. Do not use a larger % Risk with larger stop loss.
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Renko Chart tutorial Quiz

How to trade with renko chart Quiz

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Euro a ajuns pe cel de al doilea target al zilei ~ etoro forex trading software download free


În analiza noastr? de diminea?? afirmam op?iunea noastr? pentru long Eur/Usd. Nu vom relua argumentele tehnice acum pentru c? le g?si?i pe blog. Iat? ca pozi?ia noastr? de scalping , long Eur/Usd a ajuns deja la cel de-al doilea target vizat. Pre?ul dup? cum vedeti a strapuns nivelul de rezisten?? de 75% si acum testeaz? nivelul de rezisten?? dinamic? al unghiului 1x1.
Marc?m par?ial profitul  ?i mut?m stopul la BE+50. Ramanem în free trade.

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Kamis, 31 Maret 2016

Pozitionarea banilor inteligenti pe principalele perechi valutare ~ forex trading software developer


Mai sunt cateva ore ?i vom începe o nou? s?pt?man? de tranzac?ionare. Este momentul s? arunc?m o privire pe
ultimul Raport COT ?i s? vedem cum sunt plasa?i reprezentan?ii Fondurilor de Headge, Banci sau marile institu?ii financiare.
Pe dolarul american înregistr?m 47.578 pozitii long în timp ce short sunt plasate 19.375 de contracte. Totalul net al pozi?iilor sunt 66.953. Altfel spus 71% sunt pozi?iona?i long în timp ce doar 29% sunt plasa?i short.
Aud/Usd, 44.295 Long iar short 81.707. Pozi?ii totale 125.002. 35% dintre pozi?ii sunt long ?i 65 % sunt pozi?iona?i short.
Usd/Cad, 54.480 long iar short 31.368. Total pozitii 89.848. 65% sunt pozi?ii long si 35% pozi?ii short.
Usd/Chf, 11.372 sunt pozi?ii long ?i 11.997 sunt pozitii short. Total de pozi?ii sunt 23.369. 49% sunt pozi?ii long în timp ce 51% sunt pozi?ii short.
Eur/Usd, 76.291 sunt pozitii long si 138,857 sunt pozitii short. Numarul total de pozitii este de 215.148 dintre care 35% sunt
long ?i 65% sunt short.
Gbp/Usd 53,477 pozitii long si 45.940 short. Numarul total de pozitii este de 99.417 dintre care 54% sunt pozitii long iar 46% sunt
short.
Usd/Jpy, 52.386 pozitii long si 48.747 pozitii short.Numarul total de pozitii sunt de 101.133 dintre care 52% long si 48% short.
Nzd/Usd, 19,447 sunt pozitii long si 15.688 sunt pozitii short. Numarul total de pozitii este de 35.135 dintre care 55% sunt pozitii
long iar 45% sunt pozitii short.

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