Tampilkan postingan dengan label pivots. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label pivots. Tampilkan semua postingan

Selasa, 12 April 2016

Rejection Spike Pattern ~ forex market hours during holidays


There is a little-know candle formation that is highly accurate and very tradable, but it is seldom used or even noticed. Its called the Rejection Spike.
When you are aware of this particular spike formation, you will have a clearer heads-up of a potential trade or when you should be considering exiting a trade you are already in.
The Rejection Spike is a reversal formation and always occurs at a nearby level of support or resistance.
Price will push through a recent level of support or resistance, but fail to close past it. This will cause a spike formation at this level and from there the price will generally move away from this level. Levels of support and resistance are very important to traders, they become psychological price points that have an effect on the price action. Traders buy and sell off these levels, and failed attempts to push past them provide excellent trading opportunities.

Bearish Rejection Spike
A Bearish Rejection Spike will occur when the market is moving upwards to a level of resistance. The price will move up and past this level and then get pushed back down below this level of resistance and end up closing below it.
The attempt of the market to climb higher was denied by the sellers. There is more selling pressure than buying pressure, and this can come from a couple of things.
1. Traders closing long trades at this level of resistance as it was being used as a target. (In order to close a long trade, it must be countered with a sell trade. This happens automatically when you
close a position.)
2. Traders opening short positions once price has tagged this level of resistance. (This level has proven to be a reversal point recently, so a new short trade at this level becomes a safe bet)

SELL TRADE RULES
1. Price has to form a level of resistance.
2. Price has to cross above the level of resistance (without closing
above it).
3. Price has to pull back below the level of resistance and close below it.
4. Enter a short position on the close of that candle.
5. Place the Stop Loss few pips above the spike of the candle.
6. Place the Take Profit same distance away from the entry (1:1).
Alternatively, you can use the 2:1 reward to risk ratio.
7. Manage your trade by choosing one of the options.
TRADE MANAGEMENT OPTIONS
1. Trail your stop loss. With Stop Loss Trailing, your Stop Loss level will automatically update as the price moves.
2. Move to Break Even. Once the price has reached 50% of the target distance, move your stop loss to break even.
Step 1.
Price will form a level of resistance.













Step 2.
Price will move above the level of resistance.















Step 3.
Price gets pushed back down and closes below level of resistance.
















Step 4.
Enter a short position on close of candle.
Stop loss will be placed over the high of the spike and place your take profit at 1:1 or a 2:1.

 Step 5.
Manage the trade as it progresses.















Sell Trade Example 1
Let’s take a look at this trade example.
First of all, price must form a level of resistance (1). After that, price has to cross above that level of resistance (2). After the price pulls back and closes below the resistance level (3), we enter the short trade (4). Finally, we’ll set the Stop Loss and Take Profit. Stop Loss goes few pips above the spike of the candle (5). Take profit is set at 1:1 or 2:1 ratio (6).

Bearish Rejection Spike pattern











Note:
If you are uncertain about which reward to risk ratio to use (1:1 or 2:1), then always go for the 1:1 reward to risk ratio. Your profit target will be the same number of pips as your stop loss.

Sell Trade Example 2
Here’s a second short trade example.
First we see price formed a level of resistance (1). After that, price has to cross above that level of resistance (2). After the price pulls back and closes below the resistance level (3), we enter the short trade (4). Finally, we’ll set the Stop Loss and Take Profit. Stop Loss goes few pips above the spike of the candle (5). Take profit is set at 1:1 or 2:1 ratio (6).
















Note:
If you are uncertain about which reward to risk ratio to use (1:1 or 2:1), then always go for the 1:1 reward to risk ratio. Your profit target will be the same number of pips as your stop loss.

Bearish Rejection Spike
A Bullish Rejection Spike will occur when the market is moving downwards to a level of support. The price will move down and past this level and then get pushed back up above this level of support and end up closing above it.
The attempt of the market to drop lower was denied by the buyers. There is more buying pressure than selling pressure, and this can come from a couple of things.
1. Traders closing short trades at this level of support as it was being
used as a target. (In order to close a short trade, it must be countered with a buy trade. This happens automatically when you close a position.)
2. Traders opening long positions once price has tagged this level of support. (This level has proven to be a reversal point recently, so a new long trade at this level becomes a safe bet)
BUY TRADE RULES
1. Price has to form a level of support.
2. Price has to cross below the level of support (without closing below
it).
3. Price has to pull up above the level of support and close above it.
4. Enter a long position on the close of that candle.
5. Place the Stop Loss few pips below the spike of the candle.
6. Place the Take Profit same distance away from the entry (1:1).
Alternatively, you can use the 2:1 reward to risk ratio.
7. Manage your trade by choosing one of the options.
TRADE MANAGEMENT OPTIONS
3. Trail your stop loss. With Stop Loss Trailing, your Stop Loss level will
automatically update as the price moves.
4. Move to Break Even. Once the price has reached 50% of the target
distance, move your stop loss to break even.
Step 1.
Price will form a level of support.


















Step 2.
Price will move below the level of support.













Step 3.
Price gets pushed back up and closes above level of support.
















Step 4.
Enter a long position on close of candle.
Stop loss will be placed below the low of the spike and your take profit can
be a 1:1 or a 2:1 or whatever exit method you prefer.














Step 5.
Manage the trade as it progresses.














Buy Trade Example 1
Let’s take a look at this trade example.
First of all, price must form a level of support (1). After that, price has to
cross below that level of support (2). After the price pulls up and closes
above the support level (3), we enter the long trade (4). Finally, we’ll set the
Stop Loss and Take Profit. Stop Loss goes few pips below the spike of the
candle (5). Take profit is set at 1:1 or 2:1 ratio (6).
Bullish reversal spike pattern














Buy Trade Example 2
Let’s take at another buy trade example.
First of all, price must form a level of support (1). After that, price has to cross below that level of support (2). After the price pulls up and closes above the support level (3), we enter the long trade (4). Finally, we’ll set the

Stop Loss and Take Profit. Stop Loss goes few pips below the spike of the candle (5). Take profit is set at 1:1 or 2:1 ratio (6).













Note:
If you are uncertain about which reward to risk ratio to use (1:1 or 2:1), then always go for the 1:1 reward to risk ratio. Your profit target will be the same number of pips as your stop loss.

You will find the Rejection Spike all over the place.
In the chart below, you will see several instances where the Rejection Spike
works out and results in a profitable trade.
Rejection Spike Pattern
Rejection Spike Pattern





































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Minggu, 10 April 2016

Intraday Trading tips ~ forex market hours monitor download


Trade with the trend, and look at the M15 and higher charts for trend direction. Know what the trends are doing on the H1 and H4. Never trade against the trend of the M15. The exception is to scalp quickly with the retracement s of the M15 using the M1 and M5.
1. If you prefer to trade using the smaller time frames (M1, M5), trade with the overall trend. These are micro trends. If you are a scalper, grab a few pips and close trades fast.
2. Use the human eye to detect trend changes in the smaller time frames before taking trades on the longer time frames. For example, if you trade the 15 minute chart, look at the 5 minute chart to see if the trend is strong or changing. If you trade the H1 or H4 charts, for example, look at the M5 or M15 prior to entering the trade to see any possible trend changes.
3. Repeat to yourself about the trend: “The winner keeps winning and the loser keeps losing.” Trade with the trend.
4. Look at the time prior to entering a trade. For example, if it is 9:25 p.m., it may be wise to wait until 9:30 or 9:35 to see if the trend changes. If you trade during the day, retracements usually occur a few minutes after 10 a.m., 1 p.m., 2 p.m., 3:00 p.m. The ‘7’ rule. Notice at 1:07 p.m., 2:07 p.m. what we are referring to. This ‘7’ is our observation and not a fact. And retracements/reversals often occur around the :45, :00, :30 and :15.
5. The market is quiet from 4 p.m. until around 7 p.m. This quiet time is not a good time to trade since the market is choppy. Wait until 7 p.m. The trend usually retraces a few minutes after 7 p.m. Be careful...the market usually turns back into the day’s main direction after the retracement. The trend then usually reverses in the opposite direction, which means the day’s ‘winner’ becomes th ‘loser.’
6. Do not be greedy. Take profits and be grateful. Do not overtrade.
7. Always use a stop loss. If you are a quick scalper after a few pips, it is too fast to input a stop loss, so keep your hand on your mouse and close your trades fast.
8. Trade using only 3%-5% of your equity.
9. Do not trade if you are emotional or have any drama since these issues may interfere with your decision making. Do not trade when you are tired, sleepy, hungry, upset, angry, or not feeling well. Pay attention while trading. Phone calls, texting, children, dogs barking, and other distractions interfere with thinking.
10. Not every day is a trading day. If you trade the Asian session in the evenings sometimes it is volatile and choppy. In this case, it may be best to trade the longer time frames using Forex Trend Dominator alerts option. Enjoy your dinner, spend time with your family, and relax.
11. Be patient and focus. Sometimes you must wait for a safe entry.
12. Trade during the session(s) that suits your personality or lifestyle. For example, if trading during the early New York session does not suit your personality, you may prefer to trade the Asian Session (8 p.m. EST) or London Session (3 a.m EST).
13. Know the times of news releases. http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

14. Print the news calendar or jot down the times on a writing pad or notebook. Set the alarm on your cell phone as a reminder.
Intraday Trading Tips
Intraday Trading Tips

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Jumat, 08 April 2016

The pivots trade ~ forex trading hours pacific time


The pivots trade is a trading  system based on the pivots levels. The system can be traded on a wide variety of currency pairs but it works best on the GBPUSD, EURUSD, USDJPY, AUD/JPY and the AUDUSD currency pairs. The best time frame is 60 min or 30 min.
Indicators:
Pivot levels (today all trading platform have this tool);
50 EMA (exponential moving average);
MACD (8,17, 9);
RSI 814 period).

Rules the pivots trade

Buy
1. The current price candle to be above the 50 EMA.
2. The MACD to be > 0 level..
3. The RSI (14) > 50 level.
4. Entry when the current price candle is above or broken Pivot Points ( S1-S2-S3, R1-R2-R3,) .

Sell
1. The current price candle to be celow the 50 EMA.
2. The MACD to be < 0 level..
3. The RSI (14) < 50 level.
4. Entry when the current price candle is below or broken Pivot Points ( S1-S2-S3, R1-R2-R3,) .

Initial Stop Loss is placed below/above the closest/next Pivot Point level.
The Profit Target is placed at the nearest Pivot Point level.
For entry position to wait for the current candle to close then confirm the conditions.
The pivots trade
The pivots trade

The pivots trade
The pivots trade

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